SERVER_OS: Linux ojs 3.10.0-1127.el7.x86_64 #1 SMP Tue Mar 31 23:36:51 UTC 2020 x86_64
SERVER_SOFTWARE: nginx/1.16.1
PHP_VERSION: 7.3.33
DISABLE_FUNCTION: exec, passthru, shell_exec, system, proc_open, popen, curl_exec, curl_multi_exec, parse_ini_file, show_source

PATH:
Measuring Foreign Portfolio Investment Volatility in India: Does Sectoral Stock Market Play Any Role? | International Journal of Advances in Business and Management Research (IJABMR)
Skip to main content Skip to main navigation menu Skip to site footer
Articles
Published: 2025-12-12

Measuring Foreign Portfolio Investment Volatility in India: Does Sectoral Stock Market Play Any Role?

Assistant Professor
Banking FPI GARCH India Volatility

Abstract

Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) plays an important role in determining the economic status of countries. In this respect, this study analyses the pattern of FPI flow in India. Focusing on the short-run investment pattern, the trend of FPI has been highly volatile in nature. The analysis, thus, tends to examine FPI volatility and correlate it with one of the short-run Indian investment markets, i.e., the S&P BSE stock index, for the period 2006-2019. Taking monthly data, the analysis chooses the Generalised Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) approach to measure volatility and judge the impact of three sectors of the S&P BSE index, which are FMCG, BANKEX and POWER, on it. The study explores the considerable significant positive influence of the first two sectors during this period. The consideration of the above three sectors is justified, as consumption, investment and government purchase are the three major contributors of national income measurement in any economy. The study inculcates policy frameworks which need to be formulated to strengthen the performance of sectors associated with consumer goods networks and investment markets through banking operations. This will subsequently result in improved control and resistance to FPI volatility, even during periods of increased inflow into India.

References

  1. De Santis G, Gerard B. International asset pricing and portfolio diversification with time‐varying risk. The Journal of Finance. 1997 Dec;52(5):1881-912. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1997.tb02745.x
  2. Garg R, Dua P. Foreign portfolio investment flows to India: determinants and analysis. World development. 2014 Jul 1;59:16-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.01.030
  3. Waqas Y, Hashmi SH, Nazir MI. Macroeconomic factors and foreign portfolio investment volatility: A case of South Asian countries. Future Business Journal. 2015 Dec 1;1(1-2):65-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fbj.2015.11.002
  4. Wang L. Stock Market valuation, foreign investment, and cross-country arbitrage. Global Finance Journal. 2019 May 1;40:74-84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2018.01.004
  5. Hiremath GS, Kattuman P. Foreign portfolio flows and emerging stock market: Is the midnight bell ringing in India?. Research in International Business and Finance. 2017 Dec 1;42:544-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.04.016
  6. Albuquerque R, Bauer GH, Schneider M. International equity flows and returns: a quantitative equilibrium approach. The Review of Economic Studies. 2007 Jan 1;74(1):1-30. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-937X.2007.00412.x
  7. Sodersten B, Reed G. International Economics, St. Martin'sPress, New York. 1980.
  8. Dhingra VS, Gandhi S, Bulsara HP. Foreign institutional investments in India: An empirical analysis of dynamic interactions with stock market return and volatility. IIMB Management Review. 2016 Dec 1;28(4):212-24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iimb.2016.10.001
  9. Agarwal RN. Foreign portfolio investment in some developing countries: A study of determinants and macroeconomic impact. Indian economic review. 1997 Jul 1:217-29.
  10. Lipsey RE, Feenstra RC, Hahn CH, Hatsopoulos GN. The role of foreign direct investment in international capital flows. InInternational capital flows 1999 Jan 1 (pp. 307-362). University of Chicago Press.
  11. De Vita G, Kyaw KS. Growth effects of FDI and portfolio investment flows to developing countries: a disaggregated analysis by income levels. Applied economics letters. 2009 Jan 28;16(3):277-83. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850601018437
  12. Felices G, Orskaug B. Estimating the determinants of capital flows to emerging market economies: A maximum likelihood disequilibrium approach. https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1319274
  13. Fernandez-Arias E. The new wave of private capital inflows: push or pull?. Journal of development economics. 1996 Mar 1;48(2):389-418. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3878(95)00041-0
  14. Edison HJ, Levine R, Ricci L, Sløk T. International financial integration and economic growth. Journal of international money and finance. 2002 Nov 1;21(6):749-76. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-5606(02)00021-9
  15. Gordon MJ, Gupta MP. Portfolio flows into India: do domestic fundamentals matter?. International Monetary Fund; 2003.
  16. Griffin JM, Nardari F, Stulz RM. Are daily cross-border equity flows pushed or pulled?. Review of Economics and Statistics. 2004 Aug 1;86(3):641-57. https://doi.org/10.1162/0034653041811725
  17. Caporale GM, Ali FM, Spagnolo F, Spagnolo N. International portfolio flows and exchange rate volatility in emerging Asian markets. Journal of International Money and Finance. 2017 Sep 1;76:1-5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.03.002
  18. Badhani KN, Kumar A. Market timing skill of foreign portfolio investors in India. IIMB Management Review. 2020 Mar 1;32(1):24-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iimb.2019.07.012
  19. Yaha A, Singh N, Rabanal JP. How do extreme global shocks affect foreign portfolio investment? An event study for India. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade. 2017 Aug 3;53(8):1923-38. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2016.1204599
  20. Bodnaruk A, Massa M, Yadav V. Family ownership, country governance, and foreign portfolio investment. Journal of Empirical Finance. 2017 Mar 1;41:96-115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2017.01.002
  21. Rangarajan C. Capital flows: Another look. Economic and Political Weekly. 2000 Dec 9:4421-7.
  22. Reinhart CM, Reinhart VR. Capital flow bonanzas: An encompassing view of the past and present. InNBER international seminar on macroeconomics 2009 Jan 1 (Vol. 5, No. 1, pp. 9-62). Chicago, IL: The University of Chicago Press.
  23. Neumann RM, Penl R, Tanku A. Volatility of capital flows and financial liberalization: Do specific flows respond differently?. International review of economics & finance. 2009 Jun 1;18(3):488-501. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2008.04.005
  24. Wei SJ. Connecting two views on financial globalization: Can we make further progress?. Journal of the Japanese and International Economies. 2006 Dec 1;20(4):459-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jjie.2006.06.003
  25. Alfaro L, Kalemli-Ozcan S, Volosovych V. Capital flows in a globalized world: The role of policies and institutions. InCapital controls and capital flows in emerging economies: Policies, practices, and consequences 2007 May 16 (pp. 19-72). University of Chicago Press.
  26. Claessens S, Dooley MP, Warner A. Portfolio capital flows: hot or cold?. The World Bank Economic Review. 1995 Jan 1;9(1):153-74. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/9.1.153
  27. Chuhan P, Perez-Quiros G, Popper H. International capital flows: do short-term investment and direct investment differ?. World Bank Publications; 1996.
  28. Albuquerque R. The composition of international capital flows: risk sharing through foreign direct investment. Journal of International Economics. 2003 Dec 1;61(2):353-83. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(03)00013-8
  29. Nwosa PI, Adeleke O. Determinants of FDI and FPI volatility: An E-GARCH approach. CBN Journal of applied statistics. 2017;8(2):47-67.
  30. Bollerslev T. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of econometrics. 1986 Apr 1;31(3):307-27. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(86)90063-1
  31. Gupta K, Ahmed S. Determinants of foreign portfolio flows to Indian debt market. Journal of Indian Business Research. 2020 Dec 10;12(4):459-79. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIBR-01-2019-0024
  32. Jingwen W, Lijuan C, Yuai L. Enhancing Approaches for Thriving in the Digital Economy. International Journal of Advances in Business and Management Research (IJABMR). 2024 Mar 12;1(3):45-52. https://doi.org/10.62674/ijabmr.2024.v1i03.005
  33. Akçaalan E, Dindaroğlu B, Binatlı AO. International investors, volatility, and herd behavior. Uluslararası ekonomi ve yenilik dergisi. 2019;6(2):247-59.
  34. Khatoon W. Market-Wide Circuit Breakers: A Critical Analysis of their Impact on Stock Market Stability in India. International Journal of Advances in Business and Management Research (IJABMR). 2025 Mar 12;2(3):49-62. https://doi.org/10.62674/ijabmr.2025.v2i03.006
  35. Barik R, Lenka SK, Parida JK. Financial inclusion and human development in Indian States: Evidence from the post-liberalisation periods. Indian Journal of Human Development. 2022 Dec;16(3):513-27. https://doi.org/10.1177/09737030221141241
  36. Khan I. An analysis of stock markets integration and dynamics of volatility spillover in emerging nations. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences. 2023 Mar 15. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-10-2022-0236
  37. Chakraborty S, Kakani RK. Institutional investment, equity volume and volatility spillover: Causalities and asymmetries. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 2016;44:1–20. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2016.04.004

Metrics

Article Contents

Indexed In

 

Journal title

International Journal of Advances in Business and Management Research (IJABMR)

ISSN (online)

2584-1718

Publisher's name

Swami Vivekananda Global Academy, India

Established Since

2023

Email Id

info@ijabmresearch.org

DOI Prefix

10.62674/ijabmr

Peer Review

Double Anonymous Peer Review

Licensing

CC BY-NC-ND

Open Access

Yes

 

Indexed In








Score: 6.038









Tools